Pizza CPI · a daily fixed-basket price study

The Frozen Pizza Price Index

Base 100 = Aug 1, 2026
6-item basket · 3 retailers · Phoenix, AZ
Unit-price index · regular $/oz
95.53
-4.47 pts vs base · Aug 1, 2026
As of Sep 7, 2026
Shelf-price index
95.53
regular shelf price, same basket
Shrinkflation gap
-0.00 pts
unit minus shelf — ounces doing the moving
Coverage
100%
of basket cells observed on the latest day
Cheapest basket
$38.76
Walmart · Kroger $42.44
Products tracked
6
GTIN-pinned at every retailer
Days indexed
38
since base day Aug 1, 2026

The index

Both series track regular prices — promotions are published separately. When the unit-price line rises and the shelf-price line doesn't, the pizza got smaller, not pricier. Fixed-basket indexes move in steps: a step is one retailer repricing one product.

Unit-price index ($/oz)Shelf-price index
96.0098.00100.00Aug 1Aug 19Sep 7Shelf-price95.53Unit-price95.53

Same pizza, different checkout

Every product is the identical GTIN at each retailer — the gap is pure retailer pricing. Latest observed regular unit prices.

KrogerTargetWalmart
0¢20¢40¢60¢California Pizza Kitchen BBQ Chicken Thin Crust · 14.7 oz61.2¢50.9¢53.5¢Freschetta Naturally Rising Canadian Bacon & Pineapple · 27.5 oz21.8¢22.9¢21.2¢Red Baron Classic Crust Supreme · 23.46 oz21.3¢21.3¢20.5¢DiGiorno Rising Crust Supreme · 29.3 oz22.1¢22.1¢20.4¢Screamin' Sicilian Supremus Maximus Supreme · 25 oz32.0¢28.0¢27.9¢Screamin' Sicilian Holy Pepperoni · 22.3 oz35.8¢31.4¢32.8¢

At the shelf — latest observation

ProductozKrogerTargetWalmart
California Pizza Kitchen BBQ Chicken Thin Crust14.7$8.99$7.49$7.86
Freschetta Naturally Rising Canadian Bacon & Pineapple27.5$5.99$6.29$5.82
Red Baron Classic Crust Supreme23.5$4.99$4.99$4.82
DiGiorno Rising Crust Supreme29.3$6.49$6.49$5.97
Screamin' Sicilian Supremus Maximus Supreme25.0$7.99$6.99$6.97
Screamin' Sicilian Holy Pepperoni22.3$7.99$6.99$7.32

Regular prices as collected. Promotional prices are tracked as a separate discount-depth series.

The record so far

Regular shelf price at each retailer since Jul 28, 2026, one panel per pizza. Hollow dots mark days a promotion ran, placed at the promoted price — the line itself never follows a promo. Flat is the honest shape: these are shelf prices, and most days nothing moves.

KrogerTargetWalmartpromo price

California Pizza Kitchen BBQ Chicken Thin Crust

$7.46$8.99Jul 28Sep 7

Freschetta Naturally Rising Canadian Bacon & Pineapple

$4.99$6.49Jul 28Sep 7

Red Baron Classic Crust Supreme

$3.33$5.49Jul 28Sep 7

DiGiorno Rising Crust Supreme

$4.99$6.49Jul 28Sep 7

Screamin' Sicilian Supremus Maximus Supreme

$5.99$9.99Jul 28Sep 7

Screamin' Sicilian Holy Pepperoni

$5.99$9.99Jul 28Sep 7

The basket

6 products, GTIN-pinned at every rostered retailer. Click through for the full price history.